Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004287 0.004515 0.004749 0.005008 0.005287 0.005579 0.005908
2025-08-10 0.003860 0.004193 0.004550 0.004964 0.005431 0.005944 0.006554
2025-08-17 0.003672 0.004074 0.004518 0.005049 0.005670 0.006378 0.007254
2025-08-24 0.003473 0.003916 0.004417 0.005030 0.005767 0.006633 0.007741
2025-08-31 0.003301 0.003772 0.004315 0.004994 0.005830 0.006838 0.008165
2025-09-07 0.003138 0.003626 0.004199 0.004927 0.005842 0.006970 0.008496
2025-09-14 0.002993 0.003493 0.004087 0.004856 0.005839 0.007077 0.008791
2025-09-21 0.002901 0.003419 0.004043 0.004863 0.005931 0.007303 0.009250
2025-09-28 0.002744 0.003256 0.003880 0.004709 0.005804 0.007232 0.009298
2025-10-05 0.002668 0.003192 0.003837 0.004705 0.005870 0.007419 0.009708
2025-10-12 0.002634 0.003178 0.003856 0.004782 0.006046 0.007759 0.010353
2025-10-19 0.002556 0.003105 0.003796 0.004750 0.006070 0.007888 0.010696
2025-10-26 0.002483 0.003036 0.003739 0.004722 0.006098 0.008027 0.011065
2025-11-02 0.002411 0.002966 0.003678 0.004684 0.006112 0.008143 0.011407
2025-11-09 0.002389 0.002961 0.003702 0.004763 0.006293 0.008511 0.012163
2025-11-16 0.002331 0.002907 0.003658 0.004745 0.006332 0.008668 0.012591
2025-11-23 0.002272 0.002848 0.003606 0.004712 0.006346 0.008787 0.012962
2025-11-30 0.002206 0.002778 0.003535 0.004650 0.006314 0.008829 0.013205
2025-12-07 0.002142 0.002708 0.003464 0.004584 0.006272 0.008855 0.013419
2025-12-14 0.002106 0.002676 0.003444 0.004591 0.006340 0.009056 0.013950
2025-12-21 0.002022 0.002576 0.003324 0.004449 0.006173 0.008870 0.013779
2025-12-28 0.001987 0.002543 0.003299 0.004445 0.006221 0.009036 0.014255
2026-01-04 0.001978 0.002546 0.003324 0.004516 0.006388 0.009407 0.015133